Skip to content
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox
56% New York Mets44% Boston Red Sox
Tomorrow โ€ข 20:10

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Why this pick
Below fairSingle book
Outcome
New York Mets Win
1.69@ Polymarket
Most Probable56%
Place Bet

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

New York Mets56%
Boston Red Sox44%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
56%
Best 1.69
Away Win
44%
Best 2.15

Moneyline Odds

Live odds across top bookmakers
Bookmaker
Home Win
Away Win
Polymarket logo
Polymarket
1.742.26
Fliff logo
Fliff
1.692.15
Live oddsAll odds are subject to change

Value & Signals

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

OutcomeAvgBest/ $100
Home Win1.72
1.74
Fliff logo
+$2.55Bet
Away Win2.21
2.26
Fliff logo
+$5.50Bet

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Lineup not available yet

Confirmed lineups appear closer to kick-off.

Market Analytics

Expected Score

5New York Mets
-
4Boston Red Sox
Market favors New York Mets by 1 run
EstimateEstimated from moneyline only

Market Activity

Low
Bookmakers0
Odds Updates (7d)0
Line movement (7d)
Home Win1.79โ€”
Away Win2.27โ€”

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
W7-3
W6-2
L12-16
D5-5
W10-9
67%
W2-1
W5-0
W8-1
W7-5
W8-1
100%

Match Preview

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

New York Mets
New York Metsvs
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red SoxยทMLB
56%New York Mets win probability
Highconfidence

Match Overview

The market leans towards New York Mets without writing off the other side.

New York Mets welcome Boston Red Sox in this MLB game, at Citi Field, US on Saturday, July 11, 2026.

New York Mets bring 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (W-W-L-D-W, most recent first), averaging 8.0 runs scored and 7.0 conceded.

Boston Red Sox bring 5 wins from their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first), averaging 6.0 runs scored and 1.6 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make New York Mets slight favourites at 1.69, a 56% chance across 1 book.

Best prices across the market: New York Mets at 1.69 (56%), Boston Red Sox at 2.15 (44%).

A rough projection lands around 5-4 runs, favouring New York Mets by about 1 runs (estimated from moneyline only).

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Boston Red Sox are available at 2.15 (44%).

Our Pick: New York Mets

New York Mets are the market's pick at 56%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox?
Our model makes New York Mets the slight favourite at a 56% win probability versus Boston Red Sox 44%. New York Mets have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLDW, most recent first). Best bet: New York Mets to win at 1.74.
What are the odds for New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox?
The best available prices are New York Mets 1.69, Boston Red Sox 2.15. The best price you can back on New York Mets is 1.74 with Polymarket, about a 57% chance, compared across 1 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox?
Our model projects a final score of around New York Mets 5-4 Boston Red Sox, favouring New York Mets by around 1 run, with a projected total of about 8.5 runs (estimated from moneyline only).
When do New York Mets and Boston Red Sox play?
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox kicks off on Saturday, 11 July 2026 at 16:10 at Citi Field, US.
Where can I bet on New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox?
Compare live odds from 1 sportsbooks on this page. Polymarket currently has the best price on New York Mets at 1.74.
Bet
Your Pick
Home Win
Polymarket logo
Polymarket
1.74
Stake
Payout+$74.10
$174.10
Probability: 57.4%
Bet at Polymarket

21+ โ€ข T&Cs apply โ€ข 1-800-GAMBLER