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29% Phoenix Mercury72% New York Liberty
Sat, 1 Aug • 19:00

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction

Price
1.33
Market
1book
Match Result
New York Liberty Win
1.33@ Kalshi
Most Probable71.5%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Phoenix Mercury28.5%
New York Liberty71.5%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
28.5%
Best 2.89
Away Win
71.5%
Best 1.33

Moneyline Odds

Live odds across 1 bookmaker
Bookmaker
Home
Away
Kalshi logo
Kalshi
2.891.33
Live oddsAll odds are subject to change

Player Props

Market Analytics

Expected Score

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury64
New York Liberty
New York Liberty161
Market favors New York Liberty by 97 points
Estimate

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Lineup not available yet

Confirmed lineups appear closer to kick-off.

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
W91-89
W86-82
W72-63
L83-96
L100-104
60%
W113-109
W95-94
W99-98
W99-98
L88-108
80%

Match Preview

Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercuryvs
New York Liberty
New York Liberty·WNBA
72%New York Liberty win probability
Highconfidence

Match Overview

New York Liberty go in as commanding favourites here, and the prices leave little doubt.

Phoenix Mercury welcome New York Liberty in this WNBA game, at Footprint Centre, US on Saturday, August 1, 2026.

Phoenix Mercury bring 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first), averaging 86.4 points scored and 86.8 conceded.

New York Liberty bring 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first), averaging 98.8 points scored and 101.4 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make New York Liberty strong favourites at 1.33, a 72% chance across 1 book.

Best prices across the market: New York Liberty at 1.33 (72%), Phoenix Mercury at 2.89 (29%).

A rough projection lands around 64-161 points, favouring New York Liberty by about 97 points (estimated from moneyline only).

Market Activity

1 bookmakers are currently pricing this game. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Phoenix Mercury are available at 2.89 (29%).

Our Pick: New York Liberty

New York Liberty are the market's pick at 72%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty?
Our model makes New York Liberty the strong favourite at a 72% win probability versus Phoenix Mercury 29%. Phoenix Mercury have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL, most recent first). Best bet: New York Liberty to win at 1.33.
What are the odds for Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty?
The best available prices are Phoenix Mercury 2.89, New York Liberty 1.33. The best price you can back on New York Liberty is 1.33 with Kalshi, about a 75% chance, compared across 1 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty?
Our model projects a final score of around Phoenix Mercury 64-161 New York Liberty, favouring New York Liberty by around 97 points, with a projected total of about 225 points (estimated from moneyline only).
When do Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty play?
Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty kicks off on Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 15:00 at Footprint Centre, US.
Where can I bet on Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty?
Compare live odds from 1 sportsbooks on this page. Kalshi currently has the best price on New York Liberty at 1.33.
Bet
Your Pick
Away Win
Kalshi logo
Kalshi
1.33
Stake
Payout+$32.72
$132.72
Probability: 75.3%
Price shown net of fees (quoted 1.35)
Bet at Kalshi

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