Memphis vs Arkansas State: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis
Match Overview
On the numbers, Memphis are the clear side to beat in this matchup.
Memphis take on Arkansas State in this NCAA matchup, on Saturday, September 5, 2026.
Market Read
Bookmakers make Memphis strong favourites at 1.24, a 77% chance across 8 books.
Best prices across the market: Memphis at 1.24 (77%), Arkansas State at 4.50 (23%).
The model projects around 33-23 points, favouring Memphis by about 10 points (derived from totals + spread lines).
Value & Signals
The 8 books are in tight agreement, just 3% between the best and worst price, which makes this a higher-confidence read.
Betting Verdict
For a longer shot, Arkansas State are available at 4.50 (23%).
Memphis are the market's pick at 77%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.
