Skip to content
Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett
57% Benoît Saint Denis43% Paddy Pimblett
Tomorrow • 23:00

Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett Prediction

Why this pick
Fair price6% spread
Outcome
Benoît Saint Denis Win
1.71@ Caesars
Most Probable57.4%
Place Bet

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Benoît Saint Denis57.4%
Paddy Pimblett42.6%

All Bets & Odds

Benoît Saint Denis
57.4%
Best 1.71
Paddy Pimblett
42.6%
Best 2.30

Match Result Odds

Live odds across top bookmakers
Bookmaker
Benoît Saint Denis
Paddy Pimblett
Jack logo
Jack
1.642.12
Pinnacle logo
Pinnacle
1.702.24
DraftKings logo
DraftKings
1.682.24
Caesars logo
Caesars
1.712.18
Betfairexchange logo
Betfairexchange
1.712.36
Betonline logo
Betonline
1.702.22
Live oddsShowing 6 of 29

Value & Signals

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

OutcomeAvgBest/ $100
Benoît Saint Denis1.67
1.71
Caesars logo
+$4.88Bet
Paddy Pimblett2.24
2.36
Tabtouch logo
+$12.21Bet

Fighters

Fighter profiles not available yet

Tale of the Tape appears as fight night approaches.

Market Analytics

Expected Outcome

Benoît Saint Denis by KO/TKO
19% most likely
KO/TKO34%
Submission32%
Decision33%
Derived from method-of-victory market

Market Activity

Low
Bookmakers0
Odds Updates (7d)0
Line movement (7d)
Benoît Saint Denis1.74
Paddy Pimblett2.35

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
No recent matches
No recent matches

Match Preview

Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Benoît Saint Denis
Benoît Saint Denisvs
Paddy Pimblett
Paddy Pimblett·UFC
57%Benoît Saint Denis win probability
Mediumconfidence

Match Overview

The market leans towards Benoît Saint Denis without writing off the other side.

Benoît Saint Denis face Paddy Pimblett in this UFC bout, at T-Mobile Arena, US on Saturday, July 11, 2026.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Benoît Saint Denis slight favourites at 1.71, a 57% chance across 21 books.

Best prices across the market: Benoît Saint Denis at 1.71 (57%), Paddy Pimblett at 2.30 (43%).

Most likely: Benoît Saint Denis by KO/TKO (derived from method-of-victory market).

Value & Signals

There's a moderate 6% gap between the best and worst of 21 books.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Paddy Pimblett are available at 2.30 (43%).

Our Pick: Benoît Saint Denis

Benoît Saint Denis are the market's pick at 57%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a medium-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?
Our model makes Benoît Saint Denis the slight favourite at a 57% win probability versus Paddy Pimblett 43%. Best bet: Benoît Saint Denis to win at 1.71.
What are the odds for Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?
The best available prices are Benoît Saint Denis 1.71, Paddy Pimblett 2.30. The best price you can back on Benoît Saint Denis is 1.71 with Caesars, about a 58% chance, compared across 21 sportsbooks and updated live.
How is Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett likely to end?
Our model's most likely finish is Benoît Saint Denis by KO/TKO at 19%. Across both fighters the method odds are KO/TKO 34%, Submission 32%, Decision 33% (derived from method-of-victory market).
When do Benoît Saint Denis and Paddy Pimblett fight?
Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett is scheduled for Saturday, 11 July 2026 at 19:00 at T-Mobile Arena, US.
Where can I bet on Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?
Compare live odds from 21 sportsbooks on this page. Caesars currently has the best price on Benoît Saint Denis at 1.71.
Bet
Your Pick
Benoît Saint Denis
Caesars logo
Caesars
1.71
Stake
Payout+$71.40
$171.40
Probability: 58.3%
Bet at Caesars

21+ • T&Cs apply • 1-800-GAMBLER