Cody Durden vs Alessandro Costa: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis
Match Overview
Alessandro Costa hold the edge on the numbers, but this UFC matchup is far from a foregone conclusion.
Cody Durden meet Alessandro Costa in this UFC matchup, on Saturday, July 11, 2026.
Market Read
Bookmakers make Alessandro Costa clear favourites at 1.46, a 67% chance across 22 books.
Best prices across the market: Alessandro Costa at 1.46 (67%), Cody Durden at 3.21 (33%).
Most likely: Alessandro Costa by KO/TKO (derived from method-of-victory market).
Value & Signals
There's a moderate 6% gap between the best and worst of 22 books.
Betting Verdict
For a longer shot, Cody Durden are available at 3.21 (33%).
Alessandro Costa are the market's pick at 67%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a medium-confidence call.
