Ian Machado Garry vs Islam Makhachev: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis
75%Islam Makhachev win probability
Highconfidence
Match Overview
On the numbers, Islam Makhachev are the clear side to beat in this fight.
Ian Machado Garry meet Islam Makhachev in this UFC fight, on Saturday, August 15, 2026.
Market Read
Bookmakers make Islam Makhachev strong favourites at 1.29, a 75% chance across 8 books.
Best prices across the market: Islam Makhachev at 1.29 (75%), Ian Machado Garry at 4.00 (25%).
Value & Signals
The 8 books are in tight agreement, just 3% between the best and worst price, which makes this a higher-confidence read.
Betting Verdict
For a longer shot, Ian Machado Garry are available at 4.00 (25%).
Our Pick: Islam Makhachev
Islam Makhachev are the market's pick at 75%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.
