Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis - Sat, 18 Jul 2026

Kamaru Usman

Kickoff

Sat, 18 Jul

16:00

Dricus Du Plessis

29% Kamaru Usman71% Dricus Du Plessis

Sat, 18 Jul • 16:00

Upcoming

UFC

Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis Prediction

Why this pick

Fair price7% spread

Fairly priced: best 1.37 sits on the 1.34 consensus. Moderate 7% spread across 11 books.

Outcome

Dricus Du Plessis Win

1.37@ DraftKings

Most Probable71.3%

Place Bet

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Kamaru Usman28.7%

Dricus Du Plessis71.3%

All Bets & Odds

Kamaru Usman

28.7%

Best 3.80

Dricus Du Plessis

71.3%

Best 1.39

Match Result Odds

Live odds across top bookmakers

#	Bookmaker	Kamaru Usman	Dricus Du Plessis	Payout %
1	Polymarket	3.31	1.38	97.4%
2	Pinnacle	3.41	1.34	96.3%
3	Betonline	3.25	1.38	96.7%
4	DraftKings	3.10	1.39	95.9%
5	PointsBet	3.10	1.37	95%
6	Caesars	3.25	1.36	96.1%
7	Coolbet	3.40	1.34	96.4%
8	Tabtouch	3.25	1.34	94.8%
9	Betparx	3.25	1.34	94.8%
10	BBallybet	3.25	1.34	94.8%
11	BetRivers	3.25	1.34	94.8%
12	888sport	3.15	1.33	93.7%
13	Hard Rock Bet	3.25	1.33	94.5%
14	Paddy Power	3.40	1.30	94%
15	Betway	3.50	1.30	94.8%
16	FanDuel	3.50	1.29	94.5%
17	Sportsbet	3.50	1.29	94.3%
18	Ladbrokes	3.80	1.28	95.7%
19	Unibet Region	3.25	1.34	94.9%
20	Leovegas Closed	3.50	1.30	94.7%
21	Nordicbet Closed	3.40	1.29	93.5%
22	Betsson Closed	3.40	1.29	93.5%
23	BetMGM Closed	3.60	1.27	93.7%

Live oddsAll odds are subject to changeShowing 6 of 23

Value & Signals

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

Outcome	Avg	Best	/ $100
Kamaru Usman	3.33	3.80 Ladbrokes	+$47.11	Bet
Dricus Du Plessis	1.34	1.39 PointsBet	+$5.18	Bet

Fighters

Tale of the Tape

Kamaru Usman"Nigerian Nightmare"

Dricus Du Plessis"Stilknocks"

Physical

—

Age

—

6'0"

Height

6'1"

76"

Reach

76"

Switch

Stance

Switch

Welterweight

Class

Middleweight

Record

20-4-0W-L-D23-3-0

Kamaru Usman9-1-10

Dricus Du Plessis9-11-3

KO/TKO Submission Decision

Market Analytics

Expected Outcome

Likely to go past 3.5 rounds

Over 3.5 · 62%38% · Under

Derived from total-rounds market

Market Activity

Low

Bookmakers0

Odds Updates (7d)0

Line movement (7d)

Kamaru Usman3.48—

Dricus Du Plessis1.40—

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5

Kamaru Usman0W 0D 0L

No recent matches

Dricus Du Plessis0W 0D 0L

No recent matches

Match Preview

Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Kamaru Usmanvs

Dricus Du Plessis·UFC

71%Dricus Du Plessis win probability

Mediumconfidence

Match Overview

On the numbers, Dricus Du Plessis are the clear side to beat in this bout.

Kamaru Usman meet Dricus Du Plessis in this UFC bout, on Saturday, July 18, 2026.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Dricus Du Plessis strong favourites at 1.37, a 71% chance across 11 books.

Best prices across the market: Dricus Du Plessis at 1.37 (71%), Kamaru Usman at 3.80 (29%).

Likely to go past 3.5 rounds (derived from total-rounds market).

Value & Signals

There's a moderate 7% gap between the best and worst of 11 books.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Kamaru Usman are available at 3.80 (29%).

Our Pick: Dricus Du Plessis

Dricus Du Plessis are the market's pick at 71%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a medium-confidence call.

Bet Dricus Du Plessis 1.39 at DraftKings

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis?

Our model makes Dricus Du Plessis the strong favourite at a 71% win probability versus Kamaru Usman 29%. Best bet: Dricus Du Plessis to win at 1.39.

What are the odds for Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis?

The best available prices are Kamaru Usman 3.80, Dricus Du Plessis 1.37. The best price you can back on Dricus Du Plessis is 1.39 with DraftKings, about a 72% chance, compared across 11 sportsbooks and updated live.

How is Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis likely to end?

Our model leans toward the fight going the distance, with the total-rounds line at 3.5 and 62% implied over (derived from total-rounds market).

When do Kamaru Usman and Dricus Du Plessis fight?

Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis is scheduled for Saturday, 18 July 2026 at 12:00.

Where can I bet on Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis?

Compare live odds from 11 sportsbooks on this page. DraftKings currently has the best price on Dricus Du Plessis at 1.39.

What's Next

Upcoming in UFC

Bet

Your Pick

Dricus Du Plessis

DraftKings

1.39

Stake

Payout+$38.80

$138.80

Probability: 72.0%

Bet at DraftKings

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