Sat, 1 Aug 2026

Kyle Prepolec

Kickoff

Sat, 1 Aug

06:00

Mateusz Rebecki

15% Kyle Prepolec85% Mateusz Rebecki

Sat, 1 Aug • 06:00

Upcoming

UFC

Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rebecki Prediction

Value

+1.5% edge

Worth 1.16, pays 1.20

Price range

1.13–1.20

Best pays 6% more

Market

35books

6% spread across books

Match Result

Mateusz Rebecki WinMateusz Rebecki Win

1.20@ Betway

Most Probable84.6%

Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Kyle Prepolec15.4%

Mateusz Rebecki84.6%

All Bets & Odds

Kyle Prepolec

15.4%

Best 6.25

Mateusz Rebecki

84.6%

Best 1.20

Moneyline Odds

Live odds across 41 bookmakers

#	Bookmaker	Kyle Prepolec	Mateusz Rebecki	Payout %
1	Pinnacle	5.97	1.15	96.3%
2	Betway	4.50	1.20	94.7%
3	DraftKings	5.55	1.16	95.9%
4	BetMGM	5.00	1.18	95.6%
5	Hard Rock Bet	5.00	1.18	95.6%
6	PointsBet	5.00	1.18	95.5%
7	Ladbrokes	5.00	1.18	95.5%
8	LiveScore Bet	4.90	1.18	95.1%
9	Virgin Bet	4.90	1.18	95.1%
10	BetRivers	4.90	1.18	95%
11	TABtouch	4.90	1.18	95%
12	Bally Bet	4.90	1.18	95%
13	betPARX	4.90	1.18	95%
14	Betfair Sportsbook	5.00	1.17	94.8%
15	Paddy Power	5.00	1.17	94.6%
16	Bovada	5.50	1.17	96.3%
17	Kalshi Exchange	5.90	1.16	97.2%
18	ProphetX Exchange	5.31	1.16	95.5%
19	Betr	5.00	1.16	94.2%
20	Coolbet	5.75	1.15	96.1%
21	Matchbook Exchange	5.61	1.15	95.7%
22	Betfair Exchange Exchange	5.75	1.15	96%
23	Bet365	5.75	1.15	95.8%
24	BetOnline	6.05	1.14	96.1%
25	Caesars	6.00	1.14	96%
26	BetUS	5.75	1.14	95.3%
27	BetAnything	5.00	1.14	93%
28	Circa	6.25	1.14	96.5%
29	Sportsbet	5.80	1.14	95.3%
30	TAB	5.75	1.14	95.1%
31	FanDuel	5.50	1.14	94.4%
32	theScore Bet	5.75	1.13	94.6%
33	Grosvenor	4.60	1.13	90.7%
34	PlayUp	5.75	1.13	94.4%
35	Fliff Unranked	5.30	1.15	94.6%
36	Unibet Geo-check	5.50	1.13	93.7%

Unavailable
37	Polymarket Closed	1.98	1.29	78.2%
38	Fanatics Closed	5.90	1.14	95.8%

Live oddsAll odds are subject to changeShowing 6 of 38

Player Props

A standout prop for each player, with the match's biggest names first.

Market Analytics

Expected Outcome

Likely to go past 1.5 rounds

Over 1.5 · 59%41% · Under

Value & Signals

Best Value

Where the best price beats the market consensus.

Mateusz Rebecki+1.5% edge

Market consensus

1.18

84.6%

Best price

1.20

Betway

Betway’s 1.20 beats the 1.18 consensus, about $1.50 of value per $100 placed.

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

Outcome	Avg	Best	/ $100
Kyle Prepolec	5.36	6.25 Circa	+$89.14	Bet
Mateusz Rebecki	1.16	1.20 Betway	+$4.02	Bet

Fighters

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Prepolec"Killshot"

Mateusz Rebecki

Physical

Age

5'10"

Height

—

70"

Reach

—

Southpaw

Stance

—

Lightweight

Class

—

Record

18-9-0W-L-Dnull-null-null

Kyle Prepolec10-4-4

Mateusz Rebecki0-0-0

KO/TKO Submission Decision

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5

Kyle Prepolec0W 0D 0L

No recent matches

Mateusz Rebecki0W 0D 0L

No recent matches

Match Preview

Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rebecki: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Kyle Prepolecvs

Mateusz Rebecki·UFC

85%Mateusz Rebecki win probability

+1.7%value edge

Mediumconfidence

Match Overview

On the numbers, Mateusz Rebecki are the clear side to beat in this matchup.

Kyle Prepolec meet Mateusz Rebecki in this UFC matchup, on Saturday, August 1, 2026.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Mateusz Rebecki heavy favourites at 1.20, a 85% chance across 35 books.

Best prices across the market: Mateusz Rebecki at 1.20 (85%), Kyle Prepolec at 6.25 (15%).

Likely to go past 1.5 rounds (derived from total-rounds market).

Value & Signals

The best available price on Mateusz Rebecki is 1.20 at Betway, 1.7% above the 1.16 consensus.

There's a moderate 6% gap between the best and worst of 35 books.

Market Activity

41 bookmakers are currently pricing this matchup. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Kyle Prepolec are available at 6.25 (15%).

Our Pick: Mateusz Rebecki

At 85% with 1.7% of value over the market price, Mateusz Rebecki are our standout selection, priced longer than the probability justifies. Book agreement rates this a medium-confidence call.

Bet Mateusz Rebecki 1.20 @ Betway

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rebecki?

Our model makes Mateusz Rebecki the heavy favourite at a 85% win probability versus Kyle Prepolec 15%. Best bet: Mateusz Rebecki to win at 1.20.

What are the odds for Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rebecki?

The best available prices are Kyle Prepolec 6.25, Mateusz Rebecki 1.20. The best price you can back on Mateusz Rebecki is 1.20 with Betway, about a 83% chance, compared across 35 sportsbooks and updated live.

How is Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rebecki likely to end?

Our model leans toward the fight going the distance, with the total-rounds line at 1.5 and 59% implied over (derived from total-rounds market).

When do Kyle Prepolec and Mateusz Rebecki fight?

Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rebecki is scheduled for Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 02:00.

Where can I bet on Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rebecki?

Compare live odds from 35 sportsbooks on this page. Betway currently has the best price on Mateusz Rebecki at 1.20.