Our predictions are algorithmic, not tipster picks. We read live sportsbook odds, strip out the bookmaker's built-in margin to estimate each outcome's fair probability, then flag where the best available price offers genuine value (positive EV).

1. Fair Probability

For each match we pull the moneyline, totals and both-teams-to-score odds from the sportsbooks we track, remove every book's built-in margin (the "vig"), and average the result into a fair, no-vig probability for each outcome.

2. Edge Detection

We compare the best price on offer against that consensus. When the top bookmaker's payout beats the fair odds, the gap is your edge — a positive-EV bet. We also surface risk-free arbitrage whenever it exists across the books.

3. Confidence & Agreement

Confidence comes from how closely the books agree. A tight spread means the market is settled (high confidence); a wide spread means it's worth shopping the line. Each pick shows the signals behind it and updates automatically as the odds move.