Newcastle vs Liverpool: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis
Match Overview
Liverpool hold the edge on the numbers, but this Premier League match is far from a foregone conclusion.
Newcastle take on Liverpool in this Premier League match, at St. James' Park on Sunday, August 23, 2026.
Newcastle bring 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (D-W-L-L-L, most recent first), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Liverpool bring 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (D-L-D-L-W, most recent first), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
Market Read
Bookmakers make Liverpool narrow favourites at 2.26, a 42% chance across 14 books.
Best prices across the market: Liverpool at 2.26 (42%), Newcastle at 2.95 (33%), the draw at 4.00 (24%).
The model projects around 2-2 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
Value & Signals
The 14 books are in tight agreement, just 5% between the best and worst price, which makes this a higher-confidence read.
Betting Verdict
For a longer shot, the draw is available at 4.00 (24%).
Liverpool are the market's pick at 42%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.
