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Puebla

Puebla

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Kickoff
Sat, 1 Aug
01:00
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
20% Puebla23% draw58% Guadalajara Chivas
Sat, 1 Aug • 01:00

Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Value
Fair
Price range
1.601.71
Market
38books
Match Result
Guadalajara Chivas Win
1.71@ GTbets
Most Probable57.8%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Puebla19.6%
Draw22.6%
Guadalajara Chivas57.8%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
19.6%
Best 5.00
Draw
22.6%
Best 4.51
Away Win
57.8%
Best 1.71

Result Odds

Live odds across 38 bookmakers
Bookmaker
Home
Draw
Away
Jack logo
Jack
4.453.691.60
Pinnacle logo
Pinnacle
4.594.151.68
Betpanda logo
Betpanda
4.603.951.68
DraftKings logo
DraftKings
4.404.001.69
GTbets logo
GTbets
4.693.881.71
Coolbet logo
Coolbet
4.754.001.70
Live oddsShowing 6 of 38

Player Props

Market Analytics

Expected Score

Puebla
Puebla11.0 xG
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas11.9 xG
Market expects a tight, even contest
OutcomeModelMarket
Most likely score (1–1)11.3%
Both teams score56.0%55.6%

Scoreline Probabilities

Puebla
Puebla goals →
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas goals →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
6.2%
9.0%
9.7%
6.2%
4.7%
1
4.3%
11.3%
9.9%
6.4%
4.8%
2
2.7%
5.3%
5.1%
3.3%
2.5%
3
4+
Less likelyMore likely
This model matches the pre-match odds to within ±0.8 percentage points.

Value & Signals

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

OutcomeAvgBest/ $100
Home Win4.51
5.00
Bet365 logo
+$49.39Bet
Draw3.93
4.51
Kalshi logo
+$58.52Bet
Away Win1.66
1.71
GTbets logo
+$5.06Bet

Bets to Watch

Top value picks across every market and player prop, or the most likely props when the market's too efficient for an edge.

BetChanceOddsBook

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Projected
28
Gutierrez
7
Monarrez
4
Vargas
5
Almada
2
Leyva
3
Herrera
21
Sanabria
11
Gómez
24
Organista
26
Velasco
9
Hernández
Puebla·4-2-3-1

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
Puebla
Puebla1W 0D 1L · last 2
L1-2
W1-0
50%
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas1W 0D 1L · last 2
W1-0
L0-2
50%

Match Preview

Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Puebla
Pueblavs
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas·Liga MX
58%Guadalajara Chivas win probability
Mediumconfidence

Match Overview

The market leans towards Guadalajara Chivas without writing off the other side.

Puebla take on Guadalajara Chivas in this Liga MX clash, on Friday, July 31, 2026.

Puebla bring 1 win and 1 defeat from their last 2 (L-W, most recent first), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Guadalajara Chivas bring 1 win and 1 defeat from their last 2 (W-L, most recent first), averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Guadalajara Chivas clear favourites at 1.71, a 58% chance across 38 books.

Best prices across the market: Guadalajara Chivas at 1.71 (58%), the draw at 4.51 (23%), Puebla at 5.00 (20%).

The model projects around 1-2 goals, favouring Guadalajara Chivas by about 1 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).

Value & Signals

There's a moderate 7% gap between the best and worst of 38 books.

Market Activity

38 bookmakers are currently pricing this clash. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Puebla are available at 5.00 (20%).

Our Pick: Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas are the market's pick at 58%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a medium-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our model makes Guadalajara Chivas the clear favourite at a 58% win probability versus the draw 23%, Puebla 20%. Puebla have won 1 of their last 2 (LW, most recent first). Best bet: Guadalajara Chivas to win at 1.71.
What are the odds for Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The best available prices are Puebla 5.00, the draw 4.51, Guadalajara Chivas 1.71. The best price you can back on Guadalajara Chivas is 1.71 with GTbets, about a 59% chance, compared across 38 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our model projects a final score of around Puebla 1-2 Guadalajara Chivas, favouring Guadalajara Chivas by around 1 goal, with a projected total of about 2.5 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
When do Puebla and Guadalajara Chivas play?
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off on Friday, 31 July 2026 at 21:00.
Where can I bet on Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Compare live odds from 38 sportsbooks on this page. GTbets currently has the best price on Guadalajara Chivas at 1.71.
Bet
Your Pick
Away Win
GTbets logo
GTbets
1.71
Stake
Payout+$70.90
$170.90
Probability: 58.5%
Bet at GTbets

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