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57% Philadelphia Union23% draw20% Atlanta United
Sat, 1 Aug • 23:30

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Prediction

Value
Fair
Price range
1.611.74
Market
48books
Match Result
Philadelphia Union Win
1.74@ PointsBet
Most Probable57%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Philadelphia Union57%
Draw22.8%
Atlanta United20.2%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
57%
Best 1.74
Draw
22.8%
Best 4.46
Away Win
20.2%
Best 4.75

Result Odds

Live odds across 54 bookmakers
Bookmaker
Home
Draw
Away
Jack logo
Jack
1.683.914.34
Pinnacle logo
Pinnacle
1.704.114.49
Betpanda logo
Betpanda
1.693.904.40
DraftKings logo
DraftKings
1.694.004.30
GTbets logo
GTbets
1.763.964.59
PointsBet logo
PointsBet
1.743.804.50
Live oddsShowing 6 of 54

Player Props

Market Analytics

Expected Score

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union12.0 xG
Atlanta United
Atlanta United11.1 xG
Market expects a tight, even contest
OutcomeModelMarket
Most likely score (1–1)11.0%
Both teams score58.7%59.4%

Scoreline Probabilities

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union goals →
Atlanta United
Atlanta United goals →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
5.6%
4.0%
2.8%
1
8.0%
11.0%
5.5%
2.0%
2
9.0%
9.9%
5.5%
2.0%
3
5.9%
6.6%
3.6%
4+
4.6%
5.1%
2.8%
Less likelyMore likely
This model matches the pre-match odds to within ±0.5 percentage points.

Value & Signals

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

OutcomeAvgBest/ $100
Home Win1.68
1.74
PointsBet logo
+$5.91Bet
Draw3.95
4.46
1xBet logo
+$51.48Bet
Away Win4.41
4.75
Hard Rock Bet logo
+$34.08Bet

Bets to Watch

Top value picks across every market and player prop, or the most likely props when the market's too efficient for an edge.

BetEdge · ChanceOddsBook

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Lineup not available yet

Confirmed lineups appear closer to kick-off.

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union2W 0D 1L · last 3
W1-0
W3-1
L4-6
67%
L1-4
D2-2
L0-1
L0-2
D1-1
13%

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Unionvs
Atlanta United
Atlanta United·Major League Soccer
57%Philadelphia Union win probability
Mediumconfidence

Match Overview

The market leans towards Philadelphia Union without writing off the other side.

Philadelphia Union take on Atlanta United in this Major League Soccer clash, at Subaru Park on Saturday, August 1, 2026.

Philadelphia Union bring 2 wins and 1 defeat from their last 3 (W-W-L, most recent first), averaging 2.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded.

Atlanta United bring 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (L-D-L-L-D, most recent first), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Philadelphia Union slight favourites at 1.74, a 57% chance across 48 books.

Best prices across the market: Philadelphia Union at 1.74 (57%), the draw at 4.46 (23%), Atlanta United at 4.75 (20%).

The model projects around 2-1 goals, favouring Philadelphia Union by about 1 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).

Value & Signals

There's a moderate 8% gap between the best and worst of 48 books.

Market Activity

54 bookmakers are currently pricing this clash. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Atlanta United are available at 4.75 (20%).

Our Pick: Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union are the market's pick at 57%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a medium-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United?
Our model makes Philadelphia Union the slight favourite at a 57% win probability versus the draw 23%, Atlanta United 20%. Philadelphia Union have won 2 of their last 3 (WWL, most recent first). Best bet: Philadelphia Union to win at 1.74.
What are the odds for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United?
The best available prices are Philadelphia Union 1.74, the draw 4.46, Atlanta United 4.75. The best price you can back on Philadelphia Union is 1.74 with PointsBet, about a 57% chance, compared across 48 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United?
Our model projects a final score of around Philadelphia Union 2-1 Atlanta United, favouring Philadelphia Union by around 1 goal, with a projected total of about 2.5 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
When do Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United play?
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United kicks off on Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 19:30 at Subaru Park.
Where can I bet on Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United?
Compare live odds from 48 sportsbooks on this page. PointsBet currently has the best price on Philadelphia Union at 1.74.
Bet
Your Pick
Home Win
PointsBet logo
PointsBet
1.74
Stake
Payout+$74.10
$174.10
Probability: 57.4%
Bet at PointsBet

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