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57% San Jose Earthquakes22% draw21% St. Louis City
Sun, 16 Aug • 02:30

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City Prediction

Value
+3.1% edge
Price range
1.611.80
Market
14books
Match Result
San Jose Earthquakes Win
1.80@ Bet365
Most Probable57.3%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

San Jose Earthquakes57.3%
Draw21.6%
St. Louis City21%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
57.3%
Best 1.80
Draw
21.6%
Best 4.61
Away Win
21%
Best 4.50

Result Odds

Live odds across 14 bookmakers
Bookmaker
Home
Draw
Away
Jack logo
Jack
1.653.804.14
Bet365 logo
Bet365
1.803.804.10
1xBet logo
1xBet
1.704.614.40
Marathonbet logo
Marathonbet
1.693.954.40
Sportsbet logo
Sportsbet
1.684.304.40
Betr logo
Betr
1.684.254.40
Live oddsShowing 6 of 14

Player Props

Market Analytics

Expected Score

San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes12.1 xG
St. Louis City
St. Louis City11.2 xG
Market expects a tight, even contest
OutcomeModelMarket
Most likely score (1–1)10.2%
Both teams score62.6%63.7%

Scoreline Probabilities

San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes goals →
St. Louis City
St. Louis City goals →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
4.5%
3.5%
2.7%
1
6.7%
10.2%
5.6%
2.3%
2
8.0%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
3
5.6%
6.8%
4.1%
4+
4.8%
5.9%
3.6%
Less likelyMore likely
This model matches the pre-match odds to within ±0.6 percentage points.

Value & Signals

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

OutcomeAvgBest/ $100
Home Win1.67
1.80
Bet365 logo
+$13.01Bet
Draw4.10
4.61
1xBet logo
+$51.29Bet
Away Win4.22
4.50
Coolbet logo
+$28.07Bet

Bets to Watch

Top value picks across every market and player prop, or the most likely props when the market's too efficient for an edge.

BetChanceOddsBook

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Lineup not available yet

Confirmed lineups appear closer to kick-off.

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes1W 1D 2L · last 4
D1-1
L0-4
W3-1
L2-3
33%
W1-0
W3-1
W3-2
W3-0
D1-1
87%

Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakesvs
St. Louis City
St. Louis City·Major League Soccer
57%San Jose Earthquakes win probability
Lowconfidence

Match Overview

San Jose Earthquakes hold the edge on the numbers, but this Major League Soccer clash is far from a foregone conclusion.

San Jose Earthquakes take on St. Louis City in this Major League Soccer clash, at PayPal Park on Saturday, August 15, 2026.

San Jose Earthquakes bring 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 4 (D-L-W-L, most recent first), averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded.

St. Louis City bring 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 (W-W-W-W-D, most recent first), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make San Jose Earthquakes slight favourites at 1.80, a 57% chance across 14 books.

Best prices across the market: San Jose Earthquakes at 1.80 (57%), the draw at 4.61 (22%), St. Louis City at 4.50 (21%).

The model projects around 3-1 goals, favouring San Jose Earthquakes by about 2 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).

Value & Signals

Prices vary widely, 12% between the best and worst of 14 books, so it pays to shop around for the best line.

Market Activity

14 bookmakers are currently pricing this clash. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, St. Louis City are available at 4.50 (21%).

Our Pick: San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes are the market's pick at 57%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a low-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
Our model makes San Jose Earthquakes the slight favourite at a 57% win probability versus the draw 22%, St. Louis City 21%. San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 of their last 4 (DLWL, most recent first). Best bet: San Jose Earthquakes to win at 1.80.
What are the odds for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
The best available prices are San Jose Earthquakes 1.80, the draw 4.61, St. Louis City 4.50. The best price you can back on San Jose Earthquakes is 1.80 with Bet365, about a 56% chance, compared across 14 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
Our model projects a final score of around San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 St. Louis City, favouring San Jose Earthquakes by around 2 goals, with a projected total of about 3.5 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
When do San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City play?
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City kicks off on Saturday, 15 August 2026 at 22:30 at PayPal Park.
Where can I bet on San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
Compare live odds from 14 sportsbooks on this page. Bet365 currently has the best price on San Jose Earthquakes at 1.80.
Bet
Your Pick
Home Win
Bet365 logo
Bet365
1.80
Stake
Payout+$80.00
$180.00
Probability: 55.6%
Bet at Bet365

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