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29% Sporting Kansas City27% draw44% Houston Dynamo
Sun, 2 Aug • 00:30

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Value
Fair
Price range
2.002.20
Market
51books
Match Result
Houston Dynamo Win
2.20@ Bally Bet
Most Probable44.4%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Sporting Kansas City29.1%
Draw26.6%
Houston Dynamo44.4%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
29.1%
Best 3.40
Draw
26.6%
Best 4.12
Away Win
44.4%
Best 2.20

Result Odds

Live odds across 53 bookmakers
Bookmaker
Home
Draw
Away
Jack logo
Jack
3.053.482.15
Pinnacle logo
Pinnacle
3.403.382.17
Betpanda logo
Betpanda
3.153.402.14
DraftKings logo
DraftKings
3.153.402.15
Bally Bet logo
Bally Bet
3.353.202.20
betPARX logo
betPARX
3.353.202.20
Live oddsShowing 6 of 53

Player Props

Market Analytics

Expected Score

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City11.4 xG
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo11.7 xG
Market expects a tight, even contest
OutcomeModelMarket
Most likely score (1–1)11.7%
Both teams score62.5%64.2%

Scoreline Probabilities

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City goals →
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo goals →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
5.6%
6.7%
6.7%
3.9%
2.5%
1
5.1%
11.7%
9.2%
5.3%
3.4%
2
4.2%
7.3%
6.3%
3.7%
2.3%
3
3.4%
2.9%
4+
Less likelyMore likely
This model matches the pre-match odds to within ±0.6 percentage points.

Value & Signals

Best Price

Same bet, cheapest book. Line-shop this market across sportsbooks.

OutcomeAvgBest/ $100
Home Win3.17
3.40
Kalshi logo
+$22.92Bet
Draw3.46
4.12
1xBet logo
+$65.84Bet
Away Win2.14
2.20
Bally Bet logo
+$6.37Bet

Bets to Watch

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Projected
30
Cleveland
99
Reid
5
Blorian
15
Miller
2
James
11
Harris
22
Bassong
4
Johnsen
7
Capita
6
García
9
Joveljić
Sporting Kansas City·4-4-2

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
L0-4
W2-1
L2-3
L1-2
W2-1
40%
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo1W 2D 0L · last 3
W3-0
D1-1
D1-1
56%

Match Preview

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo·Major League Soccer
44%Houston Dynamo win probability
Mediumconfidence

Match Overview

Houston Dynamo hold the edge on the numbers, but this Major League Soccer match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Sporting Kansas City welcome Houston Dynamo in this Major League Soccer match, at Children's Mercy Park on Saturday, August 1, 2026.

Sporting Kansas City bring 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.

Houston Dynamo bring 1 win and 2 draws from their last 3 (W-D-D, most recent first), averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Houston Dynamo narrow favourites at 2.20, a 44% chance across 51 books.

Best prices across the market: Houston Dynamo at 2.20 (44%), Sporting Kansas City at 3.40 (29%), the draw at 4.12 (27%).

The model projects around 1-2 goals, favouring Houston Dynamo by about 1 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).

Value & Signals

There's a moderate 9% gap between the best and worst of 51 books.

Market Activity

53 bookmakers are currently pricing this match. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, the draw is available at 4.12 (27%).

Our Pick: Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo are the market's pick at 44%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a medium-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model makes Houston Dynamo the narrow favourite at a 44% win probability versus Sporting Kansas City 29%, the draw 27%. Sporting Kansas City have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLLW, most recent first). Best bet: Houston Dynamo to win at 2.20.
What are the odds for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
The best available prices are Sporting Kansas City 3.40, the draw 4.12, Houston Dynamo 2.20. The best price you can back on Houston Dynamo is 2.20 with Bally Bet, about a 45% chance, compared across 51 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model projects a final score of around Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Houston Dynamo, favouring Houston Dynamo by around 1 goal, with a projected total of about 2.5 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
When do Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo play?
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo kicks off on Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 20:30 at Children's Mercy Park.
Where can I bet on Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Compare live odds from 51 sportsbooks on this page. Bally Bet currently has the best price on Houston Dynamo at 2.20.
Bet
Your Pick
Away Win
Bally Bet logo
Bally Bet
2.20
Stake
Payout+$120.00
$220.00
Probability: 45.5%
Bet at Bally Bet

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