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Botafogo vs Grêmio
Botafogo

Botafogo

Home
Kickoff
Wed, 29 Jul
20:00
Grêmio

Grêmio

Away
54% Botafogo26% draw20% Grêmio
Wed, 29 Jul • 20:00

Botafogo vs Grêmio Prediction

Why this pick
Below fairSingle book
Match Result
Botafogo Win
1.76@ Jack
Most Probable54.3%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Botafogo54.3%
Draw25.5%
Grêmio20.2%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
54.3%
Best 1.76
Draw
25.5%
Best 3.54
Away Win
20.2%
Best 4.39

Result Odds

Live odds across 1 bookmaker
Bookmaker
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Jack logo
Jack
1.763.544.39
Live oddsAll odds are subject to change

Player Props

A standout prop for each player, with the match's biggest names first.

Market Analytics

Expected Score

Botafogo
Botafogo12.1 xG
Grêmio
Grêmio11.3 xG
Market expects a tight, even contest
OutcomeModelMarket
Most likely score (1–1)10.1%
Both teams score64.2%
Modelled from the pre-match odds consensus

Scoreline Probabilities

Botafogo
Botafogo goals →
Grêmio
Grêmio goals →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
4.4%
3.5%
2.8%
1
6.3%
10.1%
5.9%
2.5%
2
7.5%
9.6%
6.2%
2.6%
3
5.2%
6.7%
4.3%
4+
4.4%
5.7%
3.6%
Less likelyMore likely
This model matches the pre-match odds to within ±1.8 percentage points.

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Projected
17
Warleson
13
Telles
21
Marçal
34
Justino
2
Vitinho
6
Medina
75
Huguinho
11
Martins
10
Montoro
77
Villalba
19
Cabral
Botafogo·4-2-3-1

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
Botafogo
Botafogo1W 2D 1L · last 4
W1-0
D0-0
L1-2
D1-1
42%
Grêmio
Grêmio1W 1D 1L · last 3
D1-1
L1-3
W3-2
44%

Match Preview

Botafogo vs Grêmio: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Botafogo
Botafogovs
Grêmio
Grêmio·Brasileirão Série A
54%Botafogo win probability
Highconfidence

Match Overview

Botafogo hold the edge on the numbers, but this Brasileirão Série A match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Botafogo welcome Grêmio in this Brasileirão Série A match, on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.

Botafogo bring 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 4 (W-D-L-D, most recent first), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

Grêmio bring 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 3 (D-L-W, most recent first), averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Botafogo slight favourites at 1.76, a 54% chance across 1 book.

Best prices across the market: Botafogo at 1.76 (54%), the draw at 3.54 (26%), Grêmio at 4.39 (20%).

The model projects around 2-1 goals, favouring Botafogo by about 1 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).

Market Activity

1 bookmakers are currently pricing this match. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Grêmio are available at 4.39 (20%).

Our Pick: Botafogo

Botafogo are the market's pick at 54%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Botafogo vs Grêmio?
Our model makes Botafogo the slight favourite at a 54% win probability versus the draw 26%, Grêmio 20%. Botafogo have won 1 of their last 4 (WDLD, most recent first). Best bet: Botafogo to win at 1.76.
What are the odds for Botafogo vs Grêmio?
The best available prices are Botafogo 1.76, the draw 3.54, Grêmio 4.39. The best price you can back on Botafogo is 1.76 with Jack, about a 57% chance, compared across 1 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Grêmio?
Our model projects a final score of around Botafogo 2-1 Grêmio, favouring Botafogo by around 1 goal, with a projected total of about 2.5 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
When do Botafogo and Grêmio play?
Botafogo vs Grêmio kicks off on Wednesday, 29 July 2026 at 16:00.
Where can I bet on Botafogo vs Grêmio?
Compare live odds from 1 sportsbooks on this page. Jack currently has the best price on Botafogo at 1.76.
Bet
Your Pick
Home Win
Jack logo
Jack
1.76
Stake
Payout+$76.00
$176.00
Probability: 56.8%
Bet at Jack

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