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São Paulo vs Santos
São Paulo

São Paulo

Home
Kickoff
Wed, 29 Jul
20:00
Santos

Santos

Away
48% São Paulo28% draw24% Santos
Wed, 29 Jul • 20:00

São Paulo vs Santos Prediction

Why this pick
Below fairSingle book
Match Result
São Paulo Win
1.97@ Jack
Most Probable48.1%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

São Paulo48.1%
Draw27.5%
Santos24.3%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
48.1%
Best 1.97
Draw
27.5%
Best 3.31
Away Win
24.3%
Best 3.71

Result Odds

Live odds across 1 bookmaker
Bookmaker
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Jack logo
Jack
1.973.313.71
Live oddsAll odds are subject to change

Player Props

A standout prop for each player, with the match's biggest names first.

Market Analytics

Expected Score

São Paulo
São Paulo11.8 xG
Santos
Santos11.2 xG
Market expects a tight, even contest
OutcomeModelMarket
Most likely score (1–1)11.8%
Both teams score60.4%
Modelled from the pre-match odds consensus

Scoreline Probabilities

São Paulo
São Paulo goals →
Santos
Santos goals →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
5.9%
4.9%
3.8%
1
7.5%
11.8%
6.7%
2.8%
2
7.7%
9.6%
6.0%
2.5%
3
4.6%
5.7%
3.6%
4+
3.0%
3.8%
2.4%
Less likelyMore likely
This model matches the pre-match odds to within ±1.4 percentage points.

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Lineup not available yet

Confirmed lineups appear closer to kick-off.

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
São Paulo
São Paulo0W 2D 2L · last 4
D1-1
L1-2
L0-1
D1-1
17%
Santos
Santos1W 1D 1L · last 3
D2-2
W3-1
L2-3
44%

Match Preview

São Paulo vs Santos: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

São Paulo
São Paulovs
Santos
Santos·Brasileirão Série A
48%São Paulo win probability
Highconfidence

Match Overview

São Paulo hold the edge on the numbers, but this Brasileirão Série A match is far from a foregone conclusion.

São Paulo welcome Santos in this Brasileirão Série A match, at Estadio Do MorumBIS, BR on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.

São Paulo bring 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 4 (D-L-L-D, most recent first), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded.

Santos bring 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 3 (D-W-L, most recent first), averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

Market Read

Bookmakers make São Paulo slight favourites at 1.97, a 48% chance across 1 book.

Best prices across the market: São Paulo at 1.97 (48%), the draw at 3.31 (28%), Santos at 3.71 (24%).

The model projects around 2-1 goals, favouring São Paulo by about 1 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).

Market Activity

1 bookmakers are currently pricing this match. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, Santos are available at 3.71 (24%).

Our Pick: São Paulo

São Paulo are the market's pick at 48%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win São Paulo vs Santos?
Our model makes São Paulo the slight favourite at a 48% win probability versus the draw 28%, Santos 24%. São Paulo have won 0 of their last 4 (DLLD, most recent first). Best bet: São Paulo to win at 1.97.
What are the odds for São Paulo vs Santos?
The best available prices are São Paulo 1.97, the draw 3.31, Santos 3.71. The best price you can back on São Paulo is 1.97 with Jack, about a 51% chance, compared across 1 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for São Paulo vs Santos?
Our model projects a final score of around São Paulo 2-1 Santos, favouring São Paulo by around 1 goal, with a projected total of about 2.5 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
When do São Paulo and Santos play?
São Paulo vs Santos kicks off on Wednesday, 29 July 2026 at 16:00 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, BR.
Where can I bet on São Paulo vs Santos?
Compare live odds from 1 sportsbooks on this page. Jack currently has the best price on São Paulo at 1.97.
Bet
Your Pick
Home Win
Jack logo
Jack
1.97
Stake
Payout+$97.00
$197.00
Probability: 50.8%
Bet at Jack

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