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Derby

Derby

Home
Kickoff
Sat, 8 Aug
16:00
Lincoln City

Lincoln City

Away
51% Derby23% draw27% Lincoln City
Sat, 8 Aug โ€ข 16:00

Derby vs Lincoln City Prediction

Price
1.96
Market
1book
Match Result
Derby Win
1.96@ Jack
Most Probable51%
Bet Now

Win Prediction

Building price history

The consensus line fills in as bookmakers reprice this match. Check back soon.

Derby51%
Draw22.5%
Lincoln City26.5%

All Bets & Odds

Home Win
51%
Best 1.96
Draw
22.5%
Best 3.62
Away Win
26.5%
Best 3.09

Result Odds

Live odds across 2 bookmakers
Bookmaker
Home
Draw
Away
Jack logo
Jack
1.963.623.09
Pinnacle logo
Pinnacle
1.804.183.62
Live oddsAll odds are subject to change

Player Props

Market Analytics

Expected Score

Derby
Derby11.9 xG
โ€“
Lincoln City
Lincoln City11.4 xG
Market expects a tight, even contest
OutcomeModelMarket
Most likely score (1โ€“1)10.8%โ€”
Both teams score65.5%โ€”

Scoreline Probabilities

Derby
Derby goals โ†’
Lincoln City
Lincoln City goals โ†’
0
1
2
3
4+
0
4.6%
4.2%
3.7%
1
5.9%
10.8%
7.0%
3.3%
2
6.4%
9.2%
6.6%
3.2%
3
4.0%
5.8%
4.1%
4+
2.9%
4.2%
3.0%
Less likelyMore likely
This model matches the pre-match odds to within ยฑ0.2 percentage points.

Lineup & Player Match Stats

Lineup not available yet

Confirmed lineups appear closer to kick-off.

Match Stats History

Recent Form

Last 5
Derby
Derby0W 0D 0L
No recent matches
Lincoln City
Lincoln City0W 0D 0L
No recent matches

Match Preview

Derby vs Lincoln City: Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis

Derby
Derbyvs
Lincoln City
Lincoln CityยทEFL Cup
51%Derby win probability
Highconfidence

Match Overview

The market leans towards Derby without writing off the other side.

Derby host Lincoln City in this EFL Cup contest, at Pride Park Stadium on Saturday, August 8, 2026.

Market Read

Bookmakers make Derby slight favourites at 1.96, a 51% chance across 1 book.

Best prices across the market: Derby at 1.96 (51%), Lincoln City at 3.09 (27%), the draw at 3.62 (23%).

The model projects around 2-1 goals, favouring Derby by about 1 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).

Market Activity

2 bookmakers are currently pricing this contest. Over the past seven days, prices have held steady.

Betting Verdict

For a longer shot, the draw is available at 3.62 (23%).

Our Pick: Derby

Derby are the market's pick at 51%. There's no standout price edge here, so it's a confidence call rather than a value one. Book agreement rates this a high-confidence call.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Derby vs Lincoln City?
Our model makes Derby the slight favourite at a 51% win probability versus Lincoln City 27%, the draw 23%. Best bet: Derby to win at 1.96.
What are the odds for Derby vs Lincoln City?
The best available prices are Derby 1.96, the draw 3.62, Lincoln City 3.09. The best price you can back on Derby is 1.96 with Jack, about a 51% chance, compared across 1 sportsbooks and updated live.
What is the predicted score for Derby vs Lincoln City?
Our model projects a final score of around Derby 2-1 Lincoln City, favouring Derby by around 1 goal, with a projected total of about 3 goals (derived from totals + spread lines).
When do Derby and Lincoln City play?
Derby vs Lincoln City kicks off on Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 12:00 at Pride Park Stadium.
Where can I bet on Derby vs Lincoln City?
Compare live odds from 1 sportsbooks on this page. Jack currently has the best price on Derby at 1.96.
Bet
Your Pick
Home Win
Jack logo
Jack
1.96
Stake
Payout+$96.00
$196.00
Probability: 51.0%
Bet at Jack

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